Evaluating private fund performance in 2026 requires a different approach than it did even a few years ago. As private markets grow more competitive, exits slow, and dispersion widens, investors can no longer rely on a single headline metric to determine true outperformance.
This how-to guide walks through the best practices investors should follow when evaluating private fund performance today, from understanding which metrics matter to applying them in the right context and avoiding the most common evaluation mistakes. It also highlights how institutional teams operationalize these practices using modern benchmarking tools like Dakota Marketplace.
To see performance context and benchmarking intelligence, book a demo of Dakota Marketplace.
Why This Matters Now
Private markets have evolved from satellite allocations into core portfolio holdings, often representing 30–50% of total assets for institutional investors and family offices. Concurrently, market conditions have shifted:
- Median private market performance has compressed relative to public equities
- Exit timelines have lengthened amid higher rates and volatile public markets
- Performance dispersion between top- and bottom-quartile funds has widened
- Traditional benchmarks fail to normalize for vintage year, strategy, and fund profile
Across thousands of funds and allocator conversations, Dakota consistently sees the same pattern: investors who evaluate performance with nuance make better allocation decisions, while those relying on oversimplified metrics risk misallocating capital.
Start With IRR – But Don’t Stop There
IRR remains a useful starting point because it captures the efficiency of capital deployment and the impact of timing. It can help identify funds that returned capital quickly or benefited from early realizations. However, IRR on its own is increasingly misleading in today’s slower exit environment.
High IRRs can be driven by small early exits that overstate long-term success, while delayed exits can permanently depress IRR even when ultimate value creation is strong. To evaluate performance correctly, IRR should always be viewed relative to fund age, vintage year, and peer strategy. Never in isolation.
How to apply this in practice:
- Compare IRR only against funds from the same vintage year and strategy
- Investigate unusually high IRRs driven by early or partial exits
- Treat IRR as a signal, not a conclusion
Evaluate Total Value Creation Using TVPI
Once timing effects are understood, investors should shift focus to TVPI, which measures how much total value a fund has generated relative to the capital invested. TVPI provides a clearer picture of magnitude, how many dollars of value were created for every dollar committed.
In 2026, TVPI has become a critical anchor metric because it captures both realized and unrealized value and is less sensitive to short-term cash flow timing. Still, TVPI must be interpreted carefully. Unrealized value depends on valuation marks, and early-stage or long-duration funds can appear strong on TVPI long before cash is returned.
How to apply this in practice:
- Evaluate whether TVPI is reasonable for the fund’s age and asset class
- Separate realized value from unrealized NAV when reviewing multiples
- Avoid cross-strategy or cross-vintage TVPI comparisons
Use DPI to Understand What’s Actually Been Realized
DPI adds an essential layer of discipline by focusing on cash returned to investors. In an environment where exits are slower and liquidity matters more, DPI serves as the reality check behind headline performance claims.
A fund with strong TVPI but limited DPI may still succeed, but it carries execution and timing risk. Funds that consistently convert NAV into distributions demonstrate proven exit capability – a critical signal for allocators managing liquidity and pacing.
How to apply this in practice:
- Compare DPI to peers at similar fund ages
- Look for consistency in realizations, not just one-off exits
- Flag large gaps between TVPI and DPI for deeper diligence
Always Anchor Performance to Vintage Year and Peers
Perhaps the most important step in evaluating private fund performance is placing all metrics in proper context. Vintage year heavily influences outcomes by dictating entry valuations, financing conditions, and macroeconomic backdrop.
Comparing funds across different vintages or strategies without normalization leads to false conclusions. A 12% IRR may be outstanding for a post-2019 real estate fund and underwhelming for a post-GFC buyout fund. Performance only becomes meaningful when measured against true peers, funds with similar vintage years, strategies, geographies, and sizes.
How to apply this in practice:
- Benchmark funds against vintage-matched peer groups
- Normalize for strategy, geography, and fund size
- Avoid relying on generic quartile labels without context
Book a demo of Dakota Marketplace to see how it enables vintage-aware, peer-specific benchmarking!
Why This Evaluation Framework Matters in 2026, And How Dakota Marketplace Supports It
The private markets environment has fundamentally changed. Median funds are no longer reliably outperforming public benchmarks, liquidity has become more valuable, and performance dispersion has widened across every major private asset class. Consequently, evaluating private fund performance using a single metric or generic benchmark increasingly leads investors astray.
In today’s market, common evaluation pitfalls are becoming more costly:
- Single-metric analysis creates false confidence
- Outdated or overly broad benchmarks mask underperformance
- Limited peer transparency weakens IC discussions
- Funds that appear similar on paper often deliver vastly different outcomes
Top-tier investors differentiate themselves by applying a disciplined, multi-metric evaluation framework grounded in peer context. Rather than relying on marketing narratives, they focus on evidence such as realized outcomes, vintage-adjusted comparisons, and strategy-specific benchmarks that reveal true performance drivers.
Dakota Marketplace is built to support this exact approach. The platform gives investors the intelligence and workflows needed to evaluate private fund performance with precision by enabling them to:
- Benchmark funds by vintage year, asset class, strategy, geography, and fund size
- Compare IRR, TVPI, and DPI against true peer groups
- Identify what drives outperformance — not just whether it exists
- Prepare stronger IC memos, LP updates, and allocation decisions
It’s why allocators, advisors, and investment teams rely on Dakota Marketplace to bring clarity and confidence to complex private market data.
To explore Dakota’s benchmarking and performance data, book a demo of Dakota Marketplace.
